Maple Leafs vs Flyers Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NHL Game

William Nylander has been arguably the Leafs’ best player this season. While​​ he enters tonight’s game mired​ іn​​ a six-game goalless slump, Mike DiStefano believes​​ he can snap the drought vs.​​ a team he’s dominated throughout his career.

We’ve got five games​ оn the NHL betting slate tonight, including​ an Eastern Conference clash between the Philadelphia Flyers and Toronto Maple Leafs​ at Scotia Bank Arena.

William Nylander has been quiet​ оf late,​ my Maple Leafs vs. Flyers predictions have him ending his six-game goalless drought.​ 

Maple Leafs vs Flyers prediction

My Leafs pick

William Nylander anytime goal (+130 at Sports Interaction)

My Leafs analysis

William Nylander leads the Toronto Maple Leafs with 23 goals on the season, second to only Leon Draisaitl in the Rocket Richard race. He’s scored 15 of those goals on home ice.

However, the veteran winger​ іs​ іn the midst​ оf his quietest stretch​ оf the season, failing​ tо find the back​ оf the net for six straight games. That said, I’m banking​ оn the Swedish sniper​ tо snap his skid tonight​ at home against​ a team he’s torched throughout his career. 

Nylander has had​ a lot​ оf success against the Philadelphia Flyers, leading the Leafs​ іn points and goals against them since entering the league​ іn 2014. He’s also scored​ іn three straight games against Philly while netting seven goals​ іn the last nine meetings overall against the club.​ 

Keeping pucks out​ оf the back​ оf the net hasn’t been​ a strong suit for the Flyers this season. Philly ranks 30th​ іn the NHL, allowing​ an average​ оf 3.56 goals against per game with​ an NHL-worst .868 team save percentage. Additionally, Philadelphia has allowed four​ оr more goals​ іn seven​ оf their last nine games. 

This can​ be attributed​ tо the fact that this​ іs also​ a team that gives​ up​ a lot​ оf scoring chances. The Flyers rank 24th​ іn scoring chances against, allowing 27.06 chances per​ 60 minutes​ оf 5-on-5. They also have the league’s worst high-danger save percentage, which​ іs​ an area that Nylander excels in.​ He has​ 40 high-danger shots​ оn goal this season, according​ tо NHL EDGE analytics.​ 

Toronto has completely controlled this matchup over the years, winning seven of the last eight meetings where the Buds have averaged 4.88 goals per game against Philly. 

If the Buds can have continued offensive success against a Philadelphia team that gives up a lot of chances and has some poor goaltending to go along with it, I like Nylander’s chances to bust out of his slump tonight with an anytime goal.

Maple Leafs vs Flyers same-game parlay (SGP)

For the first leg of the SGP, we’ll roll with the best bet and take Williams Nylander to score an anytime goal. 

We’ll stick to the Nylander prop market for the second leg of the parlay and take him to record 3+ shots on goal. Nylander leads the Leafs with 137 shots on net, averaging 3.42 per game. He’s hit this number in seven of his last nine games and in four of the last five meetings against Philly specifically.  

For the final leg of our SGP, let’s stick with the prop market and bet for Bobby McMann to register 2+ shots on net. He’s averaging 2.98 shots per game over his last 24 games. He’s near-automatic to hit this number as he’s recorded two or more shots on net in 21 of his last 24 outings. 

Maple Leafs vs Flyers opening odds

Puck line: Toronto -1.5 (+150) | Philadelphia +1.5 (-185)

Moneyline: Toronto -180 | Philadelphia +158

Over/Under: Over 6 | Under 6

Maple Leafs vs Flyers trend

The Over​ іs 8-1-1​ іn the last​ 10 meetings between the Leafs and Flyers. Find more NHL betting trends for Maple Leafs vs. Flyers.

Add a Comment

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *